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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: ppant   😊 😞
Number: of 21940 
Subject: Reduced significantly
Date: 03/20/25 12:27 PM
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Just a quick update as I haven't posted much here. I made some portfolio moves after a long period of inactivity.

Taking advantage of prices and valuation in Berkshire which frankly I didn't thought I would see anytime this decade, I have reduced the size of my Berkshire holdings significantly since the beginning of the year. I have long expressed some concerns about the level of risk in having such a large portion of one's net worth in a single company and while that made sense when valuations were attractive, I could no longer justify sitting on a clearly richly valued position in such a large weightage in my portfolio. I am fortunate that all my substantial capital gains are inside a tax shelter and entirely free of tax.

I still think I have an impridently large third of my portfolio in Berkshire and if the price continues to zoom higher, I will continue to move capital out of it. This time last year, I had well over half my portfolio in Berkshire.

I have moved capital to some "growthy" names and in particular added to my holding in the Canadian company Constellation Software after it encountered a rare period of mild price weakness.

My quick and dirty conservative math for Berkshire prospective returns went like this :
- Current book value per B share - $301
Assume value creation at the rough conservative ROE for Berkshire of 9% p.a
- BV after 5 years - 466
- Assume market assigns a 1.2 multiplier then giving a share price of $555 per B, less than 5% above today's price.
So there is a scenario where there are no returns for the next 5 years given a historically unusually rich starting valuation.

On the other hand, it is likely that Berkshire will cope well with whatever the macro conditions throw at it so a complete evaporation of capital even from today is unlikely.

TLDR- The market has been offering a generous price for Berkshire and I took advantage of it to diversify the portfolio after a long time and reduce the signle stock risk in my portfolio. If the price continues to rise, I will do more of this.

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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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