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Author: WEBspired   😊 😞
Number: of 15062 
Subject: WEB piece 1984/ Kingswell
Date: 11/28/2023 8:49 AM
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Just read a great piece by Kingswell in Substack. Sorry, I am having trouble forwarding a link. Outstanding read and WEB nailed it of course 40 years ago, but no one bothered to listen in DC- imagine that!”Same as it ever was” (chorus)

Headline Excerpt:
“Warren Buffett Tackles The Deficit
In 1984, the Berkshire Hathaway CEO took to the pages of the Washington Post to decry America's ballooning deficit — and its worrying ramifications on bonds, interest rates, and inflation”
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Author: hclasvegas   😊 😞
Number: of 48466 
Subject: Re: WEB piece 1984/ Kingswell
Date: 11/28/2023 8:53 AM
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This is more current, https://www.msn.com/en-my/money/savingandinvesting...
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Author: Labadal   😊 😞
Number: of 48466 
Subject: Re: WEB piece 1984/ Kingswell
Date: 11/28/2023 2:06 PM
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https://www.kingswell.io/p/warren-buffett-tackles-...
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Author: Baltassar   😊 😞
Number: of 48466 
Subject: Re: WEB piece 1984/ Kingswell
Date: 11/28/2023 2:44 PM
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It seems to me that the Buffett Port only makes sense if you can avoid selling stock in down markets (which is how he presents the idea). Gradually selling off the equity portion in years both lean and fat defeats the reason to hold bonds at all.

Assuming a 4% SWR, a 10% bond allocation would represent about two and half years of living expenses, assuming no other income. If that doesn't feel like enough -- as I can easily imagine after the tech crash -- make it bigger. I think living with the Buffett Port does require a realistic understanding of what bear markets are like.

I have always understood Buffett's point to be that a well designed LTBH portfolio need not be diversified beyond a quasi-cash pool sufficient to cover living expenses for whatever period of time feels right. I don't know if this would work for everyone. But I bet it would work for a lot of people who maintain 60/40 ports in the hope that the bond portion will contribute an "equity-like" return.

Baltassar

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