Post #23319 by hclasvegas on the US Policy board

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" Harris now leads Trump with 45.5% of the expected vote, compared to Trump’s 44.1%.

According to Silver’s calculations, Harris now has 50.5% chance to win the general election, compared to Trump’s 48.8%. Harris also now has a 65.9% chance to win the popular vote—but the predicted elector share remains close, with the vice president only beating Trump by about 18 votes in the Electoral College.

The same model had independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. polling at about 5% in the general election."

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/nate-silve...

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