Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Post of the Week!
Search MI
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Post of the Week!
Search MI


Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (35) |
Author: Aussi   😊 😞
Number: of 3958 
Subject: Re: Have Bear Catchers worked post-discovery?
Date: 03/21/2024 3:14 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 4
JRB

In that case, what was the original intent for assigning weighted values (i.e., 4 for DBE, 2 for NH/NL, 1 for SMA), giving a range of 0 to 7, instead of a value of one for each indicator, giving a range of 0 to 3? It seems to me that weighted values complicate the system if they don't have any meaning.



There was no intent to assign weighted values. The reason is below.

From GTR1 for Dummies.


With 3 binary signals, BCC can have 8 possible values (2^3). BCC is equal to 1 times Bear Catcher I's state, plus 2 times Bear Catcher II's state, plus 4 times Bear Catcher III's state, which produces an integer from 0 to 7, each corresponding to one of the eight possible states that all three Bear Catchers can be in. The following table summarizes the eight states and the value of BCC:
BCC BCI BCII BCIII
Value SMA Slope NH/NL Ratio Dying Bullish Euphoria
0 Bear Bear Bear
1 Bull Bear Bear
2 Bear Bull Bear
3 Bull Bull Bear
4 Bear Bear Bull
5 Bull Bear Bull
6 Bear Bull Bull
7 Bull Bull Bull
The next table summarizes the values you can set BCC equal to in backtests to require certain Bear Catcher states:
BCC Bear Catcher State
1!3!5!7 BCI Bullish
2!3!6!7 BCII Bullish
4!5!6!7 BCIII Bullish
> 0 At least one Bullish
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (35) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds