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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: musselmant 🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Sharpe=1 CAGR 44% since 08 with timed lev'd E
Date: 12/30/24 2:47 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 11
http://gtr1.net/2013/?f0.10000::gprc%281%29gt0:tr%...

I haven't used ETFs, but for a laugh I tested a simple timing strategy trading monthly between two, representing ETFs that try to match 3x QQQ and 3X SPY, adding a market timing rule to stay out of the market someone here came up with a long time ago.
Trade monthly based which of the 2 has the best 120 day return but go to cash with timing rule.

CAGR 44.1% since 20081105
sharpe=1 beat the Nasdaq100's .87 and the S&P500's .75
beta=2.3 compared to the Nasdaq100's 1 and the S&P500's 1.1
mdd -69.9% much worse than the Nasdaq100's -31% in that period, and the S&P's -39%
Ulcer 18.4

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This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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