real money (ok, $25k total staked is not much) odds have 2:1 odds that the us. gov will not have a shutdown nov.19
(polymarket.com)

if you see this as a proxy for speaker johnson's competence, it doesn't seem to jibe.

sample track record :
- losing the 50+ cases for trump's election denial.
- when commenting on a failed evangelical-based law school that never went anywhere, mikey said:
'From a pure feasibility standpoint,' Johnson said, 'I'm not sure how this can fail.'

the biggest unspoken point is that the 1-person republican vote-to-recall still exists. johnson feels he could revoke it if needed !
so he is completely oblivious to the faction that led to this situation, a GOP intent on non-functionality via dysfunctionality.

we also now have a sample of his type of serious proposals, via the IRS&israel tie-up.