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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: ajm101   😊 😞
Number: of 21944 
Subject: Cash level thought exercise.
Date: 05/02/26 7:18 PM
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I am posting this in the hope someone can help me.

I'm trying to figure out how I feel about the cash/cash equivalents position. My rough thinking is that given circumstances, there clearly bounds. Here are a few of them, assuming a perfect view of the future:

* If there was going to be a severe financial crisis next year and multiple high quality companies in distress and substantially below their fair value, I would expect Berkshire to take advantage of its credit rating, lever up, and borrow more cash.
* If there was not going to be a pullback for a "long time" I'd expect the cash position to be put to work, down to about $100B or less
* If available market returns were zero, I'd expect buybacks to offer the best return (dividends wouldn't benefit anyone in that case)
* Past a certain point, a buyback turns into a going private transaction. I don't think that could happen for any less than $3T, and even then I think this is essentially impossible.

I don't want details, and I didn't watch today. But Buffet had 5 decades of earned trust for his instincts. I like Abel and trust him, but it's just not feasible to close that gap (at least in my remaining investing lifetime).

I think a large cash position is defensible and desirable, but it is starting to a bit lacking in direction and purpose. Somewhere between $100B and $3T is the right number. The buybacks appear to be a shift in this direction and I appreciate the signal. But I do wonder how much I would return, retain, and invest if I were in Abel's shoes.

My thinking on the matter could be off, too. "The more, the better, and take advantage of opportunities as they present themselves" is certainly a fair approach.
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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