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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: zeelotes 🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: BCC Updated to 08/14/2026
Date: 08/15/26 12:33 PM
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All three Bear Catchers have remained in bullish territory.

Date      Signal  SMA   NH/NL  DBE
20260814 7 Bull Bull Bull
20260803 7 Bull Bull Bull
20260731 5 Bull Bear Bull
20260728 7 Bull Bull Bull
20260724 5 Bull Bear Bull
20260717 7 Bull Bull Bull
20260415 7 Bull Bull Bull
20260409 3 Bull Bull Bear
20260408 7 Bull Bull Bull
20260309 5 Bull Bear Bull
20260105 7 Bull Bull Bull
20251226 5 Bull Bear Bull
20251128 7 Bull Bull Bull
20251031 5 Bull Bear Bull
20250813 7 Bull Bull Bull
20250801 5 Bull Bear Bull
20250626 7 Bull Bull Bull
20250617 5 Bull Bear Bull
20250604 7 Bull Bull Bull
20250508 5 Bull Bear Bull
20250409 4 Bear Bear Bull
20250207 5 Bull Bear Bull
20250205 7 Bull Bull Bull
20250131 5 Bull Bear Bull
20250130 7 Bull Bull Bull
20250129 5 Bull Bear Bull
20250124 7 Bull Bull Bull
20250108 5 Bull Bear Bull
20250103 7 Bull Bull Bull

The following reveals the percentage of time that the BCC value hits a certain level each month from 1982 to 11/28/2025. These are the levels for your reference.

Signal  SMA   NH/NL  DBE
0 Bear Bear Bear
1 Bull Bear Bear
2 Bear Bull Bear
3 Bull Bull Bear
4 Bear Bear Bull
5 Bull Bear Bull
6 Bear Bull Bull
7 Bull Bull Bull

1. The strongest bull value is 7 - the percent of time it is at 7 is lowest in October and August.
2. The highest percent of time at a level of 5 is in August - Nh/NL is Bear while the other two are Bull.
3. The highest percent of time when all three are bear (i.e. 0) lands in July at 13.2%. June is second highest at 11.6%.
4. At a level of 7, February is best at 66.4%, January second best at 65.3%, and September at third best with a percentage of 62.5%. This latter case is the most surprising to me of all the percentages in this table.

Month  0      1     2     3     4      5      6     7
1 7.7% 0.0% 7.0% 1.4% 4.2% 8.7% 5.8% 65.3%
2 7.5% 0.0% 6.5% 1.6% 4.7% 11.0% 2.2% 66.4%
3 10.9% 1.0% 6.3% 2.4% 3.4% 12.9% 1.2% 62.0%
4 6.2% 2.3% 9.7% 0.7% 4.4% 17.7% 3.4% 55.7%
5 6.6% 1.0% 8.1% 0.9% 4.0% 19.5% 3.6% 56.3%
6 11.6% 1.1% 2.3% 1.8% 1.8% 14.9% 5.2% 61.2%
7 13.2% 1.7% 2.6% 3.7% 0.9% 14.3% 4.2% 59.5%
8 8.4% 2.4% 4.2% 3.2% 3.2% 25.6% 2.7% 50.4%
9 9.6% 0.0% 0.1% 3.9% 6.3% 13.6% 3.9% 62.5%
10 10.3% 0.0% 3.0% 2.1% 6.8% 24.2% 5.0% 48.7%
11 6.1% 0.9% 5.6% 1.3% 11.0% 19.0% 1.2% 54.8%
12 10.6% 0.0% 5.1% 0.4% 8.8% 15.3% 0.0% 59.8%


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