No. of Recommendations: 9
44% (32 Votes) 1 BRK-A
22% (16 Votes) 930 SPY (with dividends)
18% (13 Votes) 18.8 Bitcoins
9% (7 Votes) 940 SNOW
5% (4 Votes) 590 TSLA
...
BRK-A +33.7%
SPY +8.4%
Bitcoin -7.5%
TSLA -21.8%
SNOW -60.1%
So far, this seems to say something about the voters on that old poll: they weren't so dumb.
Note the near one-for-one correspondence between the order of choice popularity and the order of returns so far.
Best fit:
Return to date = (original fraction of votes) * 2.1 - 51%
If anything, the biggest error so far was giving T&T a bit too much credit for SNOW's prospects.
It was an unpopular choice, but not quite unpopular enough.
Of course, the fat lady has not yet sung.
Time will tell.
Jim
