I believe they're pretty much zero.

The odds of success, yes. The odds of an attempt are much higher.

And the attempt is the real problem. The damage from even coming close to such an event is going to be profound. Just look at the damage and division caused by Trump’s last attempt at avoiding his loss.

If he loses again this time, I expect nothing less than a repeat performance, with the benefit of lessons learned from the last time.

Worse, should he win and decide that two terms isn’t enough, who is left in the Republican Party to stand up against him? And being a populist, the country will only be further divided by the end of a second term, along with the filling of the highest levels of the executive branch with his loyalists. A second civil war would become a real possibility.

—Peter