I saw your post on the Fool, about the US allowing Iranian exports out of the Gulf.

You cited the two men with a grenade, in an elevator, scenario.

I propose the US is allowing Iranian shipments, so as not to piss off the primary buyer of that crude, China. God on Earth Trump sees a meeting with Xi as another opportunity to show the world what a big shot he is, so does not want to antagonize the Chinese by cutting off their oil.

But, with his usual lack of thought, Trump the God then told the Chinese that they, along with several other countries, need to force the strait open by force of arms, to maintain their crude supply. Instead, China suggested Trump the Most Perfect stop the war he started.

So now, the big meeting with Xi has been postponed. Trump acts like the postponement was his idea, of course. More likely, Xi told him to pound sand. Interestingly, the Beeb offered that no-one thought much would have been accomplished in that meeting. The Trump regime fired all the State Department people who knew how to do the needed planning for such a meeting. Chinese officials were reportedly increasingly frustrated because their USian counterparts didn't know what they were doing. Who is "winning"? China, because they are looking like the reliable, rules based, partner, while the US staggers from crisis to crisis, pissing off everyone in sight.

We should know, in a few days, which of us is right. If it's the grenade scenario, Iranian shipments will continue unopposed by the US. If Trump the God was buttering up the Chinese, he will cut off shipments, maybe bomb Kharg Island into rubble, out of spite for the Chinese, as much as anything else.

Steve