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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: Double digits
Date: 07/04/24 10:44 AM
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Real price gain +14.89%
...
Just to demonstrate that I've been paying attention, how much did the value increase in the last year?


Oh, much less.
Value per share is up less than book per share, too. I'd say real "easily observable" value per share is up mid single digits in the last year.

Of course you can estimate value in a number of different ways, so the exact number depends what method you prefer. I'll do fresh "elaborate" figures when the Q2 books come out.

But FWIW, using the specific "super smoothed real book" method mentioned in the original post of this thread, I get value per share up inflation + 5.19% from end-June last year to end-June this year*. This is fairly low because the (extremely smoothed) valuation metric is still taking into account the 7-8 quarter net flat spot in real book per share starting end 2021. The smoothed line is pulling up again now, slope is now inflation + 7.0%/year.

Jim

* I necessarily used an estimate of Q2 book, but any error in that estimate is not a very big deal because of the substantial data smoothing--the latest data point determines only 12% of the smoothed level, so even a 10% error in my Q2 book estimate would only give an error of 1.2% in the smoothed value. And I'm pretty sure my book value estimate doesn't have a 10% error margin.

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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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