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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", sykesix asked the members: "What do you do if you arrive early at movie besides go to the snack bar?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
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Author: WendyBG ✶x2☼🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 4769 
Subject: Re: Control Panel: Sticking the soft landing, “Soonico
Date: 02/16/26 4:19 PM
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The wise and highly respected mungofitch wrote, "A purely financial asset has price elasticity around the consensus of what it ought to earn: rising demand doesn't cause rising price, rather rising price causes falling demand and (extremely weak) mean reversion. The fair value is the present value of all future possible distributions and any terminal value. The consensus of that estimate will certainly change a lot over time, changing the asset's price, but a change in demand alone generally won't (usually not much longer than the time for news to be disseminated)."

In theory, that's true. But as the wise and respected Yogi Berra noted, "In theory, theory and practice are the same. In practice, they're not."

Wise and respected economist John Maynard Keynes noted, "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent."

I won't say anything, but I will post a chart.

multpl.com - Shiller pe

And I will note in passing that I have my grandfather's passport, which was issued on October 30, 1929 in preparation for a cruise my grandparents took to Europe with my infant father. Just in time to meet American expatriates in Paris who had lost everything in the stock market crash and couldn't afford a ticket back home to the U.S.

Wendy
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This community has written 4,762 posts about Macroeconomic Trends & Risks. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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