Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MacroBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m Weekly ¤Learn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MacroBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m Weekly ¤Learn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", sykesix asked the members: "What do you do if you arrive early at movie besides go to the snack bar?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (7) |
Author: sutton ✭🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 4768 
Subject: Re: But suppose it?s not...
Date: 11/01/26 4:08 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 5
AI is a thing...it may even be a very big thing, but it’s not going to be *everything*.

I tend to agree: there will always be real estate novelists, who never have time for a wife. And plumbers.

But I'm uneasy about money and power. That's not to say that as a species, we're doing the best at managing these already: most of humanity is already pretty poor and disenfranchised. And in contemplating AGI, I can think of many more paths leading to our societal wealth and power becoming even less evenly distributed than I see pathways that "seem most likely to effect" our "Safety and Happiness", as Jefferson et. al. phrased it.

Not to say that AGI couldn't do this. More justice, less inequality; more sharing and growing of the commons than exploitation and destruction. Maybe it would just pull all of the levers necessary to implement the Kyoto protocol, and let the chips fall.

In other words, the ethos absorbed by recursive AI models could be that of the Enlightenment, or Buddhism, or the Beatitudes. Lincoln, Jefferson, Madison, Washington.

But while we can hope that, I think we have no good grounds to expect that. Psychopathy is also possible, perhaps equally so.

It's simply an experiment that hasn't ever been run, and I'm not at all reassured by the obvious observation that those in charge of its development are clearly not the wisest, most mature adults among us.

But I agree with Goofy that there's no sense in getting our knickers in a twist, particularly seeing as how there's not a bloody thing we can do about it. We're all about to find out together.

--sutton
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to sutton here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 4,762 posts about Macroeconomic Trends & Risks. The article-length ones it recommended most:
AI Tarpits · 36 recs · 2026
End of an era - profit slowdown · 36 recs · 2023
Control Panel: Trend changes in 2026 · 34 recs · 2026
From the Oregon Bay Area (a blogger) · 33 recs · 2025
Lerner Symmetry Theorem · 32 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (7) |


Announcements
Macroeconomic Trends & Risks FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Macro | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community | Privacy