Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MacroBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MacroBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (23) |
Author: Knighted   😊 😞
Number: of 4460 
Subject: Re: Big data: shingles vaccine lowers dementia risk
Date: 06/23/26 12:52 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 13
While I am enthusiastically pro-vaccine (and in fact got both versions of the shingles vaccine) I have to point out that some people do have a lasting effect from the immune system's response and memory. This first became publicized after the population-wide swine flu vaccination program in 1976. The program was officially halted on December 16, 1976, after the vaccine was linked to an increased risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome, a rare neurological disorder. I remember this well because I and my entire family got this vaccine. We were hit hard by the 1968 Hong Kong flu.

Very true - and I wasn't implying vaccines can't have side effects. I was just pointing out that any harm caused by a vaccine must originate shortly after vaccination, because that's the only time the body is actually exposed to it.

There are many who falsely believe that a vaccine lingers in the body and can spontaneously produce harmful effects later in life, but there's no plausible biological mechanism for that.

That's why vaccine safety monitoring focuses heavily on the weeks and months after vaccination. When genuine vaccine-related adverse events occur, they are overwhelmingly detected within that timeframe.

As for Guillain-Barré syndrome, my father was actually one of the people to develop that, but in his case it was a result of an infection rather than the swine flu vaccine.

That's another important point people often overlook: the same immune response that can (rarely) be triggered by a vaccine can also be triggered by the disease itself, often at a much higher rate.

So even when a vaccine carries a real risk of side effects, it can still be a net positive if that risk is substantially lower than the risk posed by the disease it helps prevent.

Myocarditis is a prime example of this. While it can occur rarely after COVID vaccination, the risk of it occurring is far higher from the COVID infection itself.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to Knighted here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 4,454 posts about Macroeconomic Trends & Risks. The article-length ones it recommended most:
AI Tarpits · 36 recs · 2026
End of an era - profit slowdown · 36 recs · 2023
Control Panel: Trend changes in 2026 · 34 recs · 2026
From the Oregon Bay Area (a blogger) · 33 recs · 2025
Lerner Symmetry Theorem · 32 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (23) |


Announcements
Macroeconomic Trends & Risks FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Macro | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community