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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mapg x2  😊 😞
Number: of 6132 
Subject: ModernFamily EOM Aug-2026
Date: 09/01/26 8:56 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 5
      Name               SP500        R200       R800       R2000    Transportation    Retail    Regional Bank   BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY
IWL IWR IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 31-Aug-26 01-Sep-26 01-Sep-26 31-Aug-26 31-Aug-26 31-Aug-26 01-Sep-26 31-Aug-26 31-Aug-26
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 14-Apr-26 15-Apr-26 17-Jun-25 07-Jul-25 17-Jun-25 29-May-26 02-Dec-25 08-May-26 17-Jun-25
Since_ChgD 139 139 441 420 440 94 273 115 440
Confirmed Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Not Yet Not Yet Yes Not Yet
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Support Support Support Support Resistance Resistance Support Resistance
ROC(50-DMA) 2.8% 2.4% 5.5% 5.1% 6.7% 6.5% 9.4% 14.5% 3.4%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 16.3% 16.5% 13.8% 25.3% 19.1% 9.9% 16.7% 31.6% 83.2%
DMAC(50,200) 6.2% 5.9% 7.5% 9.5% 8.3% 3.3% 8.7% 10.6% 22.7%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 767.05 190.12 111.68 293.93 85.05 86.10 73.56 209.05 556.63
50-DMA 754.36 186.64 111.08 297.28 87.02 88.51 75.57 195.28 580.60
200-DMA 710.27 176.25 103.37 271.56 80.35 85.70 69.53 176.57 473.25
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 2 2 0 0 0 6 2 4 0
# BuyD /Yr 243 237 252 252 252 226 242 239 252
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 9 15 0 0 0 26 10 13 0
% BuyD /Yr 96% 94% 100% 100% 100% 90% 96% 95% 100%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 631.97 156.00 91.69 229.11 68.14 77.28 58.14 138.21 286.43
52wH(Daily) 777.88 192.47 114.82 305.09 90.01 92.35 77.93 216.96 668.91
% Off_52wH 1.4% 1.2% 2.8% 3.8% 5.8% 7.3% 5.9% 3.8% 20.2%
LastD_52wH 13-Aug-26 13-Aug-26 14-Aug-26 14-Aug-26 16-Jul-26 04-Aug-26 14-Aug-26 19-Aug-26 22-Jun-26
SinceD_52wH 18 18 17 17 46 27 17 12 70
CountD_52wH 45 42 43 36 28 13 15 36 58
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases - Rev 27-Sep-2024 Intermediate-Term 50-DMA and/or 200-DMA.
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish".
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
Criteria that Refute - Moving Average Crossovers(MAC) do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Technical Analysis - After a MAC is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Confirmation is then sought by watching the Slope(ROC) of the DMA.

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GD_
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