Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (36) |
Author: weatherman   😊 😞
Number: of 84349 
Subject: Re: The Problem With Polymarket
Date: 10/20/24 10:18 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 2

the prospect of another 2 terms of trump as president is an existential threat, but so is the damage he can do in another single term.
the big difference is the former is a low probability event we can not worry too much about, while the latter is high probability, near certainty.
(take as an example the small chance of undoing the scotus damage, which has an amplified impact throughout democracy)


this is not the same as saying :
- we know by which path damage will be done. trump's agenda is ad hoc based on his own assessment of personal benefit at the time he actually takes any action.
- trump could certainly try to structure plans to stay in office longer; every strategy that involves minimal risk to his OWN personal resources and freedom is always on the table.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to weatherman here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
It's going to get worse · 33 recs · 2025
G’day Donny · 30 recs · 2026
Old Related Story · 28 recs · 2026
HCR is a national treasure · 27 recs · 2025
Fascism in America · 27 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (36) |


Announcements
US Policy FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Politics | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community