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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: zeelotes 🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: Managing Risk with Saul Picks
Date: 06/16/23 5:06 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 11
hiphop asked:
Is the idea to do an average of this along with the SaaS and Cloud ETFs to generate the short term transitions?

No. What you need is to find technical analysis indicators that identify points of extreme on the overbought and oversold sides. You do this for every stock in the universe and then average their readings to arrive at a consensus. Once you've done that you simply determine thresholds for buy and sell. Here are the values I use for the first month and a half of this year.

           Average  Average  
Date BULL BEAR Signal
1/3/2023 0.80% 30.09% SELL
1/4/2023 13.27% 27.79%
1/5/2023 45.89% 3.48%
1/6/2023 54.35% 4.06% BUY
1/9/2023 14.81% 16.91%
1/10/2023 11.17% 7.51%
1/11/2023 2.08% 29.25% SELL
1/12/2023 2.22% 29.46%
1/13/2023 1.49% 15.89%
1/17/2023 0.81% 39.61%
1/18/2023 1.95% 12.45%
1/19/2023 35.57% 2.15% BUY
1/20/2023 9.60% 6.29%
1/23/2023 2.35% 33.24% SELL
1/24/2023 2.08% 12.57%
1/25/2023 16.26% 2.60% BUY
1/26/2023 1.76% 29.73%
1/27/2023 4.72% 30.79% SELL
1/30/2023 8.14% 2.54%
1/31/2023 7.07% 8.60%
2/1/2023 0.58% 53.60%
2/2/2023 0.58% 83.79%
2/3/2023 4.77% 3.22%
2/6/2023 13.92% 3.06% BUY
2/7/2023 28.61% 3.05%
2/8/2023 14.12% 4.68%
2/9/2023 23.14% 9.33%
2/10/2023 48.73% 5.70%
2/13/2023 21.83% 2.07%
2/14/2023 13.00% 7.33%
2/15/2023 4.00% 32.48% SELL


Trading Results

This is based on holding all the Saul picks long during a buy and selling all them short during a sell.

Date       Signal  % G/L
1/3/2023 SELL 9.48%
1/6/2023 BUY 7.55%
1/11/2023 SELL -0.08%
1/19/2023 BUY 9.08%
1/23/2023 SELL 2.99%
1/25/2023 BUY 8.18%
1/27/2023 SELL 1.11%
2/6/2023 BUY 14.69%
2/15/2023 SELL 11.39%


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