Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of FKBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of FKBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Falling Knives
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |
Author: BenSolar   😊 😞
Number: of 1165 
Subject: Upstart Holdings Inc
Date: 12/23/22 1:01 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 5
Hello shrewd falling knife investors,

I've not been a participant on this board in the past, but have lurked at times and have enjoyed the current KMX discussion. So it occurred to me that this board may be a good place to talk about one of my holdings, and quite the falling knife: UPST.

For any unfamiliar with UPST, it's now a small-cap: $1 billion market cap, but in the not very distant past that number was a LOT bigger. They are applying AI to the business of qualifying people for loans, serving as a matchmaker between lender and borrower, taking a small slice of the pie. They grew at a phenomenal rate in recent years, and actually made a nice GAAP profit. However with the inflation/interest rate spike and tightening lending environment, their business dried up and they're losing money at present, even while continuing to grow the bones of the business expanding beyond their core business of personal loan qualification into auto, small business, and small dollar lending.

Founded by Google alums, I still believe in the business' future even though I'm sitting on a big loss in my share's values. I caught this falling knife when it was approximately 90% off of its all-time high, and it has since proceeded to lose another ~73%. Ouch!

Manlobbi has opened a board for the stock: http://www.digitalscores.com/MB?pid=940248782 I'll check back in here for more discussion of KMX and others, perhaps including UPST, and you are all welcome to join me there to talk about the company too.

Thanks!
Ben
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to BenSolar here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 1,155 posts about Falling Knives. The article-length ones it recommended most:
FKA: DG · 25 recs · 2023
MTD – A Masterclass in Un-Swiss Capital Allocation · 17 recs · 2026
Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) · 15 recs · 2026
Coloplast (CLPBY) · 12 recs · 2026
TSLA · 12 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |


Announcements
Falling Knives FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of FK | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community