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Author: lizgdal ✶  😊 😞
Number: of 48490 
Subject: Re: CAPE and BRK
Date: 12/05/2023 11:08 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 12
My estimate. There are 11 valuation bins, and the 12 breakpoints (using standard CAPE since 1995) are:

  date   CAPE   pctRank
1999.12  44.20    100%
1999.09  41.32    95%
2022.04  33.89    85%
2023.07  30.89    75%
2022.07  29.00    65%
2006.12  27.28    56%
2006.03  26.33    46%
2014.08  25.62    36%
1995.09  23.95    26%
2011.06  22.10    16%
1995.01  20.22    6%
2009.03  13.32    0%
 
2023.09  30.81    75%


We are now about at the 75% rank, close to the breakpoint between the 3rd and 4th most expensive bins (out of 11 bins total).

using data from http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm

Current Shiller PE Ratio: 30.94 on Dec 5 from https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe
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