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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: MisterFungi   😊 😞
Number: of 84361 
Subject: Re: I changed my mind
Date: 03/14/25 7:09 PM
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<<If that "lot of the Democratic base" would grow up and stop being butthurt about the Democrats "not having their back" in futile gestures, and instead would be more concerned about winning swing seats, then they wouldn't be in this situation.>>

I disagree.

The 2024 election was a simple (i.e., simple-minded) rejection of the incumbent party because "inflation." It doesn't matter that inflation was a global phenomenon. It doesn't matter that the US economy was doing fine comparatively. It doesn't matter that Kamala Harris was the candidate. The economic-based election models that have predicted Presidential election outcomes quite accurately going back to 1952 show that, if anything, Harris-Walz outperformed the forecast slightly--probably not because they were so terrific but because Trump-Vance was so awful.

Heck, I thought this was pretty much your view, also.

Therefore, a winning electoral strategy going into the 2026 midterms and beyond is to rally the base, not desert them, and win over swing voters when (not if) the Trump economy implodes as a result of massive cutbacks in government spending and employment, tax breaks to the 0.1%, tariffs, and sheer incompetence.

Trump will, of course, blame anything and everything bad on the Democrats. But (1) he'd do that regardless of whether or not Dems let the CR pass, and (2) it's kinda hard to shift the blame credibly when you're The King and control everything.
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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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