DONALD TRUMP - BreakEven - MILDLY negative
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The Republican voters for the first time saw -- there is life without Daddy.

I didn't watch the debate - which is how I know that Trump was the big winner, at least from the perspective of a wannabe strategist.

The only outcome from the debate that could have changed the dynamic of the primary is if one or more of the candidates had a Big Moment - a big enough moment to break past the actual audience into broader news and cultural coverage of the debate. Something noteworthy, something viral, something that was talked about more than a day or so later.

Apparently, that didn't happen.

That's the ideal scenario for Trump. None of the candidates pushed themselves forward. None of the "real" candidates (that are plausible to last until the end of the year) did anything that might damage their prospects. That is literally the best thing that could have happened for Trump, given his decision not to participate.