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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: albaby1 SILVER
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Number: of 84361 
Subject: Re: Columbians to allow deportation flights
Date: 01/27/25 1:27 PM
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If they join Belt and Road, it won't be because of Trump. Are you aware who Columbia's President is?

Yes. But Trump's actions can't be both consequential and irrelevant - strongly shaping Colombia's behavior for all the intended consequences, but having no impact at all on the unintended ones.

When Trump forces the country to publicly bend the knee like this, it accomplishes his short-term objective - but it makes the country and the electorate far more receptive to the possibility of opening up more and more to the Chinese. Politics exist, and the many reasons why Colombia had been moving more modestly in the direction of Belt-and-Road rather than just signing on were a function of that politics. It's a golden opportunity for China to appear more as a viable strategic partner that serves Colombia's interest rather than being a carpetbagger.

So when Trump throws a hand grenade into Colombia's domestic politics and foreign policy like this, it's going to have an effect. Trade-offs exist.

I agree that Trump will disclaim any responsibility, of course - and I expect his supporters will as well. But that doesn't make this a smart thing to do.
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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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