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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", sykesix asked the members: "What do you do if you arrive early at movie besides go to the snack bar?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: Goofyhoofy ✸✹🐝 HONORARY
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Number: of 88914 
Subject: Re: Is New York City Really Dead?
Date: 03/11/24 7:37 PM
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I've had this debate many, many times with the activists here in Seattle. They use the same playbook: compare today's crime rates to some violent time in the 1970's or the 1990's and then claim that See? It's way better than it was then or Population increases explain any increase in crime. That's assuming they admit there's been any crime increase AT ALL.

At no point does anyone want to lay the blame where it belongs:

*Soft on crime laws
*Defunding the police
*Prosecutors who refuse to prosecute
*Judges who hand down light sentences


It’s so interesting, because I looked at the trend in homicides for Texas, not exactly known as a hotbed of liberalism. Not defunding the police. Not prosecutors who refused to prosecute. Not judges who hand down light sentences. And you know what I found?

 Data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) indicates 
a clear trend: firearm-related deaths in Texas have been on the rise for about two
decades, following a decline in the 1990s. In 2021, the state recorded 15 deaths by
firearms per 100,000 people, a stark 50% increase from 1999. This period also saw a
66% rise in firearm-related homicides and a 40% increase in suicides involving firearms.
The last time Texas saw such figures was in 1994.

Mass shootings, such as the one at an Allen outlet mall and the devastating incident
in Uvalde, have tragically highlighted the recent resurgence of gun violence in Texas.
These events have reignited the debate over gun violence and its prevention.


Maybe we should look at crime rates in general? To see which states rank at the top?

Yes, lets:
 

6
Table with 6 columns and 51 rows. Currently displaying rows 1 to 10.
Rank State Violent Crime Rate per 1,000 Residents Property Crime Rate per 1,000 Residents Chances of Becoming a Victim of a Violent Crime Scaled Score
1 New Mexico 7.80 29.84 1/128 100.00
2 Arkansas 6.45 24.52 1/155 95.13
3 Louisiana 6.29 27.48 1/159 94.51
4 Colorado 4.92 31.48 1/203 92.65
5 California 4.99 23.43 1/200 88.92
6 Tennessee 6.22 23.02 1/161 87.37
7 Missouri 4.88 23.40 1/205 84.16
8 South Carolina 4.91 23.08 1/204 84.06
9 Nevada 4.54 23.80 1/220 82.92
10 Alaska 7.59 17.89 1/132 82.71


forbes.com - Crime rate by state

Hmph. Eight out of 10 are red states, presumably tough on crime. Go figure.

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This community has written 88,852 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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