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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: zeelotes 🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: A change in market direction
Date: 08/07/24 12:41 PM
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It seems to me that this was inevitable. Japan's central bank has basically provided liquidity for the other central banks to remain over tight in their monetary policy. As long as they did everything was fine, but once they began telegraphing their intent to end quantitative easing, it was a certainty that the borrowing of yen for free, converting that yen to dollars, and investing those dollars in the highest quality dollar-denominated assets would end. It had to.

Financial Times: Content 599790b6 abf1 4ca5 a1d9 40ccb352c9e2

japantimes.co.jp - BOJ rates

At its two-day policy meeting, the BOJ voted to increase its short-term policy rate target to 0.25% from a range of 0% to 0.1%. It also said that it would reduce its buying of government bonds through March 2026. An institution that had recently earned a reputation for being wishy-washy and making missteps instead acted decisively and with resolve. Just days before, the vast majority of analysts polled forecast that the central bank would remain dovish and leave rates unchanged until September or October in order to gather more data.

I've been thinking about the potential inevitability of Japan's central bank doing exactly this all year.
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