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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: TheReitStuff 🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 84359 
Subject: Re: Barrett Redrow (BTRW.L)
Date: 06/25/26 12:11 PM
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Good post - briefly,

- political risk (to the economy, to housebuilding regs/planning etc)

- cladding remediation risk (huge)

- regulations making it take longer to build (a 6 month average extra delay = may wipe out the profit margin on the build)

- interest rate risk

- house prices are unaffordable, yet housebuilders who bought land 20 years ago still can barely turn a profit on it. wtf. if they can't make money in this market, how will they make money if the housing market crashes?

- stock imho is highly operationally geared to all of the above and to broad economy/recession risk

- stock is 'cheap' valued relative to a 'mild' future, has net cash, and can probably survive one of the above going badly wrong but not several

- cladding! again! it's a huge issue and potentially wipes out the net cash position.

- it will be a feast or famine kind of stock I think

all IMHO, please check for yourself.

TRS
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