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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks S / Simon Property Group (SPG)
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Author: LucidDreamer   😊 😞
Number: of 5 
Subject: SPG - recession watchlist target
Date: 08/16/24 9:09 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 5
More to follow, but I posted a tremendous amount on my TMF board about SPG during 2020 covid collapse.

Net is that I didnt trust the nonsensical hypergrowth valuations of Zoom and others, which was my loss thru at least mid-2021, but eventually I was proven correct in thinking those bubbles would pop. Most Saul stocks (then) still below 2021 highs today, for example.

Instead I looked for beaten down value and saw SPG as a well managed higher-end “mall” company w a fortess balance sheet and one of best CEOs around in David Simon.

I rode SPG from the $60s in mid 2020 to about $165-170 when I sold at end of 2021.

The stock had a nice dip in 2022 to around $90 and has been sitting around $150 for a while now.

Divvys were suspended when covid forces mall closures, but a few Qs later they turned them back on and have been raising them every Q since.

So you have a strong dividend and a resilient business (and stock) that has seen massive bestdowns in GFC and Covid along with sizable 2022 dip and each time it recovers.

Barring retirement of David Simon, I am confident if SPG falls in a coming recession/market correction, that it will be yet another great opportunity to pounce.

Targets; $110, $100, $90.

If they manage not to cut dividends in a downturn, their yield could be 8-9% or more at those prices, too.

Dreamer
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