Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (20) |
Author: lizgdal   😊 😞
Number: of 6132 
Subject: Re: new dervied Nasdaq100 weekly strategy
Date: 01/17/26 4:14 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 8
Thanks for posting another interesting screen with suggestions (weekly trading, short-term momentum reversal). The OP screen looks for stocks:

Large Cap Growth (Nasdaq 100)
high 1-year momentum
low 1-week momentum (short-term momentum reversal)
weekly trading

The short-term momentum reversal steps (steps 2 and 3) reduce CAGR, Beta, drawdown, and depth, while more than doubling the number of trades (AT). (Depth is the average count of stocks passing the final step.)

Results from 19850201 to 20251128 (longest backtest):

    Screen      CAGR  SAWR  GSD  DIGSD  LDD  LDDD3  MDD  UI  Sharpe  Beta  TI  AT  Depth
OP_screen 27 12 28 32 16 8 -51 11 0.98 0.8 30 24 2.9
no_step2 28 12 33 37 19 11 -55 16 0.91 1.0 26 27 3.8
no_step3 31 13 34 37 18 11 -60 17 0.97 1.0 27 27 3.9
no_step2_step3 30 12 42 46 23 15 -74 22 0.84 1.4 21 9 5.0


Results from 20151127 to 20251128 (most recent 10 years):

    Screen      CAGR  SAWR  GSD  DIGSD  LDD  LDDD3  MDD  UI  Sharpe  Beta  TI  AT  Depth
OP_screen 14 9 25 29 16 10 -39 12 0.60 0.8 17 22 2.8
no_step2 12 7 30 35 19 14 -51 21 0.49 1.0 13 26 3.7
no_step3 17 10 31 35 19 13 -47 17 0.66 1.1 17 26 3.8
no_step2_step3 23 11 40 45 23 15 -50 22 0.73 1.5 17 9 5.0


I prefer the version with higher CAGR and less trading. Low Beta would help when blending with other screens, but this screen's CAGR is so high that I prefer to just evaluate it on its own.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to lizgdal here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (20) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community