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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: Thinking of BV multiple for BRK as a function of i
Date: 02/07/23 4:24 PM
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Start of year 1, with $100 BV. Let's say earnings are $7 by end of year 1 and BV now is $107. Why should it be worth more than 1x BV in this case?

Because cash doesn't just stack up in operating companies. (outside Japan)
It typically gets used for expansion capex, which earns a decent return on average.
Absent other information about management being dumb, let's assume it earns the same rate of return as the existing assets.

So, in round numbers, if ROE isn't falling and assets are climbing, the firm is worth more.
Let's assume it's a big company with a serious going concern of a business.
If you value it on earnings power value (as one should for earnings assets) rather than asset value, each dollar retained is worth more than a dollar.
A typical solid firm gets a pretty good return on its assets. Median among S&P 500 firms lately is 16.7%.

In your example, they had $100 of book in year one. If they are like a current median big firm, they are earning 16.7%, so $16.70 net profit.
In year two they had $107 of assets in year two. Since typical ROE is high, that was a bad year, but let's go with it.
But year two is typical for returns and they earn the currently typical l6.7% on assets, or $17.87 on $107 in assets.
The difference is $1.17/year. Would you pay more than $7 for earnings of $1.17? I would.
If so, then the $7 in retained book is a worth a multiple considerably greater than 1.

Operating companies typically trade at P/B ratios well above 1.
In short, the reason is that their situation lets them allocate that capital at higher returns than you're likely to get.
So an incremental $1 held and managed by them is on average worth more than $1 to you.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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