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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Interesting Microcaps
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Author: CharlieBonds   😊 😞
Number: of 52 
Subject: Re: Let's innoVATE
Date: 01/18/23 12:31 PM
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HoHum,

It's not VATE's "riskiness" that I was objecting to, but something else, namely, my unwillingness to try to manage its risks.

As I've said elsewhere, I buy across the yield-curve and up and down the FI credit-spectrum. That means I'm buying spec-grade debt (aka, junk bonds), a lot of them. However, when I'm buying those bonds, I'm typically buying "fallen angels", i.e., the debt of companies with fairly decent balance sheets that the market is currently trashing, but whose prospects for recovery are likely enough that I'm willing to take a position.

Some of those bets worked out fabulously. E.g., buy XRX's 8's of '27 at 34 and have the bond trade near par a couple years later. You've doubled your money on the principal, and --meanwhile-- clip a 25%/year coupon. Same-same with Internet Cap's bonds, another one on which I achieved a near 100% YTM. OTOH, there have been bets on which I lost everything. No BK workout. No nothing. However, as long as gains exceed losses by a decent enough margin, the gig is doable.

You presented VATE a 'microcap'. But that's an irrelevant fact. What is relevant is that the market --in her infinite wisdom-- is pricing it as a 'penny stock'. Therefore, VATE needs to be benchmarked against its peers, the couple thousand other penny stocks there are, all of which can offer fabulous gains, as well as spectacular losses. So, this question has to be asked:

Ques: "Who makes consistent money in penny stocks?"
ANS: "Them who make penny stocks their specialty and who do the work that investing in that asset class requires."

I've dabbled in the pennies, as have we all. But I've already got more iron in the fires than would permit me to add another. So VATE gets discarded for being the distraction it would be for me, rather than an opportunity.

Charlie
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This community has written 52 posts about Interesting Microcaps. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Screen trade basket: FF, MCRAA, BELFA, and RSKIA · 5 recs · 2024
Changed mind on DIT, added KEQU · 5 recs · 2024
Too interesting to make the cut · 4 recs · 2024
Not so micro: Seaboard Corporation (SEB) · 3 recs · 2026
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