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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", sykesix asked the members: "What do you do if you arrive early at movie besides go to the snack bar?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: Aguila ✶  😊 😞
Number: of 6374 
Subject: Re: Risk-off Signal
Date: 02/15/23 3:09 PM
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Using QQQ at the close for opening long position 1/13 (OL $280.97) and 2/9 (CL $301.68) there was a 7.3% gain.

For the short position using QQQ 12/15(OS $276.23) and 1/6 (CS $268.80) there was a 2.7% gain.


Good point. With QQQ the result is better, although I suspect it could go the other way as well, QQQ being more volatile. I have added QQQ (your dates were slightly off) with these signals which are based on the S+P500 to a little table I made:

date		action		S+P500		price QQQ	return S+P	return QQQ
12/15/22 open short 3,895.75 276.23
1/6/2023 close short 3,895.08 268.80 0.02% 2.76%
1/12/23 open long 3,983.17 279.05
2/10/23 close long 4,090.46 299.7 2.69% 7.40%

Anyway, two trades from a blackbox system, or even 1 year of trades don't prove much. So I think I'll leave it at that, although for entertainment purposes I'm looking forward to seeing the next signals.

Anyone remember TimingCube? I never used them, but remember people posting that their system based on backtested results (which they presented as real trading results) worked for a good while, until it didn't. I think it turned out quite a desaster for some people.
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