am trying to balance paranoia with data driven expectations, but not much public grist out there other than generic conclusions from gov internal terrorist trackers.

in 2024, there is a bigger spotlight on the pseudo/quasi militia MAGA groups out there. how realistic is it that in a close presidential election (and hopefully pollsters are wrong again), the country experiences a much broader set of violent events than jan.6 ?

such groups commonly believe trump actually has some sort of legal and\or 'christian' authority to give them arms'-length approval for outright violence. (even interpretation of such via codewords is sufficient; none expect explicit orders from trump to commit murder)

take for example the name of a rightwing group 'condition one', which is based on the gun culture phrase for having ammo chambered (i.e., an interpretation of stand up\stand by).
if this comes to pass, will it be organized and directed at law enforcement, or chaotic and mostly at random unarmed people?

[for any interested, wired magazine seems to cover this topic regularly]

ironic green day poll : paranoid or stoned?