Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (16) |
Author: albaby1 SILVER
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 84361 
Subject: Re: The Sky is falling
Date: 12/19/24 1:02 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 6
Yaah, what I need is a visual of that. I'm understand much better if there's series of charts I can reference. Otherwise it becomes a verbal abstract. Any tricks on remembering these things? :)

Here's a picture, illustrating the different coalitions in the House. It's from when McCarthy was Speaker, but the broad contours remain:

https://archive.ph/jMCnZ

In a nutshell, the GOP caucus contains members with different political philosophies. There's are some members who prioritize fiscal hardline positions above all others, and there are others who don't.

But you don't really need to keep track of it. Just remember that in a Congress where no one reaches across the aisle except when there's a must-pass bill coming along, the only way for an individual member to get their priorities adopted is to get it into a must-pass bill. So they're all incentivized to insist that their main objective has to be reflected in the must-pass before Leadership gets their vote. So the areas affected by hurricanes won't support a CR unless it also includes hurricane relief; the states devastated by China's agricultural reprisals to the Trump (then later Biden) tariffs insist on farm relief, etc. Meanwhile, the hardcore fiscal conservatives use the must-pass to insist that their priorities be reflected: no CR, no stopgap, but an actual budget that reduces the size of government expenditure.

With only three or four votes to play with, it can't be solved with just GOP votes. At least, not by Johnson. So Johnson has to go to Jefferies and cut a deal. Unless Trump is willing to whip Ralph Norman or Chip Roy to force them to swallow the repeal of the debt ceiling, or Glenn Thompson (Republican chair of the House Ag Committee) to drop his insistence that he'll vote against any CR that lacks ag relief, or any of a hundred other members and Senators to give up their priorities that were included in the CR package....well, it will be tough going.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to albaby1 here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
It's going to get worse · 33 recs · 2025
G’day Donny · 30 recs · 2026
Old Related Story · 28 recs · 2026
HCR is a national treasure · 27 recs · 2025
Fascism in America · 27 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (16) |


Announcements
US Policy FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Politics | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community