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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21943 
Subject: Re: Berkshire and Tariffs
Date: 04/07/25 9:43 AM
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But more interesting is that world trade intensity didn't back up to the gilded age levels again until around 1975.
...
Quite a bit of the world industrial capacity was destroyed in the 1940s, maybe it took some regions 30 years to get back to full industrial strength?


I'm pretty sure that's not really it. It isn't a measure of global trade, it's a measure of global trade as a fraction of the size of global production. Both trade and GGP shrank, but GGP recovered faster than trade did.

I think it's mainly that trade was simply out of fashion, partly because of perceived risks, despite those risks in absolute terms being vastly below what was considered entirely acceptable in the late 19th century. A part of it may have been the introduction regulation...it was surprisingly easy to invest outside one's own country before the first war (if you were one of the few with the money) because little was prohibited. Later, national brokerages and regulators made it a lot more difficult. It's still not that easy, in general, except for the really big money.

When my (tiny) company was selling stuff in a few Asian countries in 1982, including "red" China as it was then known, I heard we were profitable in more countries than any other Canadian firm. Still, Telex was probably easier than letters sent to an agent by flying boat or clipper ship.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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