Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (15) |
Author: Dope1   😊 😞
Number: of 84361 
Subject: Re: Well, that's not great - preconditions editio
Date: 04/10/26 5:15 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 3
But the thing about Operation Rolling Thunder is that it didn't work. It failed. Sure - it killed a lot of people and caused a lot of damage. The tactical objectives of the bombing missions were achieved. But it didn't accomplish any of the strategic goals it was intended to deliver.

I was using Rolling Thunder as a foreshadowing. If you want to go to bombing as a means to force negotiations, then the proper analogy is Nixon's Christmas bombings of Hanoi in 1972. The North Vietnamese wouldn't negotiate at all and lo and behold after being visited by B-52s again...within a month a deal was struck.

But Iran can hold the strait hostage with short range missiles and drones that can be carted around in (and hidden in) something as small as a box truck. And they might not even need to do that - even the risk of Iranian action will keep most tanker companies (and their insurers) from sending any vessels through the strait without Iranian permission. Couple that with their continued ability to launch drones and medium-range missiles at the energy infrastructure elsewhere in the Gulf, and Iran has the ability to make life very unhappy for the global economy. And we can't stop them.

Hmm. Pretty tricky problem. What's an out of the box way to counter this?
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to Dope1 here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
It's going to get worse · 33 recs · 2025
G’day Donny · 30 recs · 2026
Old Related Story · 28 recs · 2026
HCR is a national treasure · 27 recs · 2025
Fascism in America · 27 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (15) |


Announcements
US Policy FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Politics | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community