I also think a number of cowardly feckless Republicans have just been put on notice that their hiding places have been discovered and they're going to be dragged into the glare of the spotlight by the heels. If you are a Republican Senator who's up in two years, aren't you going to be trying to save whatever shred of your ass remains?

There were seven Republican Senators who voted to convict across Trump’s two impeachments.

Six of them were out of a job at their next election, either knocked out in the primary by a “more Republican” candidate, or because they chose not to run for re-election because they knew there was no path to victory.

The only one who has been reelected since was Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, and it is probably the ranked vote system that has allowed her to maintain her status. Her most recent election was in 2022, so there was also a substantial “cooling off” period which may have helped.

No. Republicans are not going to vote to convict, especially these Republicans. The best you can hope for is criminal indictments (including Trump if you can find any “unofficial acts”, and make headlines with investigations and such - but more important is trying to bring down oil prices and food prices and either being successful at it, or managing to pin the blame on Trump’s VETO pen.

Every time there’s an impeachment without a conviction that President gets stronger . Back when Republicans had honor they told Nixon to resign. Those days are over.