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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: Said   😊 😞
Number: of 21941 
Subject: Re: On Topic (really :): A Berkshire Hathaway question
Date: 12/17/22 6:34 AM
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Knighted, seems you know exactly what I intend. I am inspired by 2x this year having bought BRK calls when Price/PeakBV was in one of the lowest of Jim's buckets. First Jan'24 calls which until 3 days ago were up around 40%, then Sep29 (Price/PeakBV=1.22) Jan'25 calls which were up over 70%. That ignited the thought to extend that strategy to not act on only the extremes but going a bit up the 'bucket ladder' => buying calls already at higher Price/PeakBV than around 1.2x to have more such actionable events. That's why I asked Jim for those data. When you are now saying

I've found in the past that translating bucket of return type of data like this into a trading strategy with cut-offs does not always produce the slam dunk results one might intuitively assume. I found that to be true in this case. When I backtested a few years ago, the best I recall seeing was a ~1% CAGR advantage

the question for me is: Did you find this to apply also to staying with valuation extremes like 1.3x (or lower), or only when you go far higher, much more into the middle of the valuation range?
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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