Post #5105 by Lear on the Berkshire Hathaway board

Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) ❤

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"If trends of real earnings and valuations remain similar to recent history, based history since 1995 you'd expect a ~7 year forward return from the S&P of inflation + 2.9%/year if valuations end at around the average 1995-2023 levels."

You may have posted this elsewhere, but I'm curious if you have a model that projects the same (expected returns over 7 years), but for RSP instead of SPY.

On the the hunch that the 'magnificent 7' are currently skewing SPY's valuation metrics considerably, and the remaining 493 companies have considerably better prospects for something approximating normal market returns.

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