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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21943 
Subject: Re: Berkshires 13f
Date: 08/15/23 6:38 PM
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Not much data in the post, just a customer's view who thought it seemed attractively priced at the time, but sharing for what it's worth...

That post mentions that it was trading at around 6 times earnings.
Their earnings vary a bit, so an occasional odd number isn't by itself a surprise:
2019-2022 earnings per share were $11.02, $5.19, $26.84, $17.91...definitely something for which a fancier metric is needed!

What surprised me more is that Value Line thinks that they'll [still] be trading at an average annual P/E of 6.5 in 3-5 years, despite earnings almost doubling from the current dip.
Since it's a longer term forecast, it is presumably based on the notion that earnings will be neither unusually high nor unusually low in that future stretch...so 6.5 is a very downbeat assumption for cyclically adjusted earnings.
Go figure.

I have no idea if the various forecasts hold water, and I certainly have no record of making money in the credit card business.
But the forecast seems to be for a business that will in fact do well but whose stock won't really rise in price.
That's just fine for a very long hold for someone like Berkshire. But annoying for mere mortals!
There is a 2.17% dividend to tide you over, I suppose.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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