Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |
Author: weatherman   😊 😞
Number: of 84346 
Subject: Re: The current betting odds,
Date: 05/22/24 10:18 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 2
for those that dont understand statistics, event gambling could theoretically be better predictor than polls with sufficient sample size and randomization. so its probably a few 10s of millions shy (of any value) of random eligible voters convinced to become participating bettors.
and the structure of sports/event betting is for the PLATFORM to make a profit, so odds are adjusted as needed.

there are other corrections needed as well...
e.g., no need to attend nor watch the game for sports betting, as it doesn't impact the outcome.
but voting requires some effort even if you already made an election bet.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to weatherman here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
It's going to get worse · 33 recs · 2025
G’day Donny · 30 recs · 2026
Old Related Story · 28 recs · 2026
HCR is a national treasure · 27 recs · 2025
Fascism in America · 27 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |


Announcements
US Policy FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Politics | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community