Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (13) |
Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: Thought exercise
Date: 08/29/23 5:03 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 8
1. I could not be certain on how strong is the moat, and never be sure how long the growth would continue
2. I put too much focus on the current-valuation, those companies had never been cheap.


If #1 is true, then you probably did the right thing by avoiding them, despite leaving money on the table.

If one had to have only one skill in investing, it's the ability to see around corners to see where a firm's moatiness is headed. If 5-10 years later it's still true that nobody is successfully competing with and undercutting their oddly high return on assets and equity, it will work out well. So just concentrate on finding those.

And, perhaps more importantly, staying away from the ones where you don't have that certainty, even realizing that many of them will do very well. If you can't see the moat and ramparts clearly, and the investment works out well, you were just lucky. Missing out on those is not an error, it's prudence.

The ones I kick myself for are the ones where I WAS that certain, and I didn't invest, and they (predictably) made a fortune for their shareholders. Or, perhaps more annoying, the ones where I closed the position for a quick profit.

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mungofitch here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (13) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community