No. of Recommendations: 3
This conflict is a year old, why the sudden rush to war?Replying again (with apologies) because I forgot to mention the other likely explanation - happenstance.
Israel may not have had a choice on the timing. Per at least one report, Hezbollah was becoming suspicious:
As for the timing of the explosions, Israeli and US officials have said that Israeli intelligence services wanted the explosions to mark the first act of an all-out war with Hezbollah, but acted early after Hezbollah became suspicious – with more than one member believing the devices may have been tampered with.
"It was a use it or lose it moment," one US official told Axios, describing the reasoning Israel gave the US for the timing of the attack, although officials said Washington was not told of the specifics of the attack..
independent.co.uk - Hezbollah pager attack timeline israel lebanon attackSo it looks like Israel made the decision that it would be willing to overturn the status quo and go to war with Hezbollah earlier in the year (the pagers started being shipped into Lebanon in the spring), but the
timing of that war may have been precipitated by Hezbollah's suspicions and not a specific timing choice by Israel.
