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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: lizgdal   😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: Examining 4 timing schemes
Date: 08/20/26 4:42 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 5
Annual returns in years with a loss:

Year  N1T  BCC0  sma200  sma325  best system
1973 -20 -22 -17 -16
1974 -23 13 8 8
1975 17 16 3 -1 BCC0

1984 -11 -5 -16 -9 BCC0

1987 13 13 9 -7 BCC0

1990 -7 -9 -17 -17 BCC0

2000 -40 -40 -13 -15
2001 -26 -22 -5 4
2002 -35 -22 -19 2 sma325

2008 -41 -17 -29 -27 BCC0

2011 2 -3 2 2
2016 7 7 -3 7
2018 0 0 -7 0 sma325

2022 -33 -27 -26 -22 sma325

2025 23 23 -2 23 not sma200


BCC0 is N1T_BCC0
sma200 is N1T_sma200_100_090
sma325 is N1T_sma325_100_090

The 3 timing systems (BCC0, sma200, and sma325) applied to N1T show BCC0 was best before 2000 and in 2008. But BCC0 did little to ease the pain of the dot com bust. Timing with sma325 was best after 2000 except for 2008.
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This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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