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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: Aussi   😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: OT more on LEAPS
Date: 04/22/24 12:47 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 4
Following up on Lizdal's post with timing for the equal weight SP500, it doesn't look like using the 200 sma would be a winning strategy for LEAPS.

Since 19921231

Equal weight hold 63 days has a CAGR of 11.2% and SAWR of 8.01%. With timing being out below 200 SMA, CAGR 9.1% and surprising to me, SAWR of only 6.99%

From Lizdal's post

->-> SMAB uses the SMA slope change. To check if the S&P is below its MA200:
SP500EW_sell_if_SMAC
"Close all liquid positions and hold cash on any market dates where SMAC < 0"
[SMAC]: [[1-day SMA lag 0] - [200-day SMA lag 0]]
gtr1.net: GTR1 Backtester - SP500EW_sell_if_SMAC::...

Aussi
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