Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (1) |
Author: mapg x2  😊 😞
Number: of 6132 
Subject: ModernFamily EOM Feb-2026
Date: 02/27/26 6:31 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 8
      Name               SP500          R200       R800       R2000    Transportation    Retail    Regional Bank   BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY
IWL IWR IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 27-Feb-26 27-Feb-26 27-Feb-26 27-Feb-26 27-Feb-26 27-Feb-26 27-Feb-26 27-Feb-26 27-Feb-26
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 07-May-25 07-May-25 08-May-25 14-May-25 14-May-25 03-Dec-25 02-Dec-25 28-Jul-25 08-May-25
Since_ChgD 296 296 295 289 289 86 87 214 295
Confirmed Not Yet Not Yet Yes Yes Yes Not Yet Yes Yes Yes
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Resistance Resistance Support Support Support Resistance Support Support Support
ROC(50-DMA) 2.2% 1.6% 4.7% 7.0% 8.8% 7.3% 12.3% 7.0% 12.6%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 13.3% 14.7% 7.3% 8.3% 4.0% 8.9% 4.4% 9.0% 38.1%
DMAC(50,200) 5.2% 5.2% 4.5% 9.2% 8.1% 5.6% 8.5% 15.2% 19.5%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 686.16 169.37 102.99 261.41 81.78 86.98 66.76 175.37 406.37
50-DMA 687.61 170.97 99.84 259.28 78.01 88.00 68.65 172.54 390.13
200-DMA 653.65 162.52 95.50 237.52 72.13 83.34 63.28 149.75 326.34
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 2 2 2 1 2 4 4 2 2
# BuyD /Yr 219 221 203 198 199 203 193 160 211
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 33 31 49 54 53 49 59 92 41
% BuyD /Yr 87% 88% 81% 79% 79% 81% 77% 63% 84%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 496.48 122.36 74.88 174.82 55.22 62.11 48.81 112.02 179.95
52wH(Daily) 695.49 173.37 102.99 269.79 82.40 90.88 73.63 177.64 426.16
% Off_52wH 1.4% 2.4% NH 3.2% NH 4.5% 10.3% 1.3% NH
LastD_52wH 27-Jan-26 12-Jan-26 27-Feb-26 22-Jan-26 20-Feb-26 15-Jan-26 06-Feb-26 22-Jan-26 25-Feb-26
SinceD_52wH 31 46 0 36 7 43 21 36 2
CountD_52wH 41 36 21 16 14 14 9 23 43


The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases - Rev 27-Sep-2024 Intermediate-Term 50-DMA and/or 200-DMA.
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish".
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
Criteria that Refute - Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description - After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.

--- ---
GD_
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mapg here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (1) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community