Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (21) |
Author: rrr12345   😊 😞
Number: of 21941 
Subject: Re: Does WB require 10% off on stock repurchases? N
Date: 03/20/24 5:01 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 5
"So we have hints about the how, and the reference to a 90c dollar MAY be a hint about how conservative"

I argued after Buffett's repurchases in Q3 and Q4 of 2018 that the P/B that Buffett paid provided a reasonable way to estimate Buffett's estimate of IV, and now after 75 more reported repurchases and two, telling months in which Buffett did not repurchase stock (April and May of 2022), I am even more convinced that the repurchase P/B provides a reasonable estimate of IV.

For several years now my estimate of IV, using different valuation models and different assumptions within each model, have given IV between 1.5x BV and 1.7x BV. I have chosen to use 1.5x since that was more conservative. However Buffett's repurchases have now forced me to use a best guess for IV that is higher than 1.5x BV. Warren has repurchased stock as high as 1.5x BV, using either beginning BV for the quarter or ending BV for the quarter. Also, as pointed out in this thread, the most reasonable estimate of his required discount to IV seems to be 10%, not 5% as was using previously. That implies an IV of 1.5x BV/0.9, or 1.67x BV.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to rrr12345 here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (21) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community