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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
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Author: luxmain   😊 😞
Number: of 4460 
Subject: Changing tides.
Date: 02/06/23 2:55 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 4

1. Fear and Greed has dropped to 75. Looks rather like it has topped for the time being. The next question being when, and how far it will likely go down. This is interesting because the spike in junk bond spreads has reversed, which was one of the few things holding the fear and greed index down. SP500 down etc.

2. The big memes are flying, because meme investors always seem to be last on board for rallies.

BBBY: +60% , as bankruptcy relentlessly approaches

GME +5%, AMC +7%, TSLA +3% etc.

Lesser memes such as NKLA, CVNA ... -7%.

3. EURUSD continues to weaken. GBP strength - totally baffling, but then, what isn't, nowadays?

4. A comment on natgas. Some may look at NG=F and think 'oh ho! nearing a bargain?'. But consider, there was no warning before oil went to -$40 a couple of years ago. It is not a risk-free trade. Also, the more attractive the trade becomes, you'll probably get things like contango/backwardation messing up your trade unless you get the timing just right. Still, the disparity between euro/US natgas prices is interesting. Still, they call natgas a widowmaker for a reason.

5. TSM, INTC, MU, AMD quite well down, semis moving out of fashion again?

lux
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