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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: commonone   😊 😞
Number: of 84350 
Subject: Re: She Had No Face
Date: 05/10/23 1:25 PM
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bighairymike: If law abiding gun owners were stripped of their means to defend themselves, their homes, and their families, then the two million or so DGU's each year would result in a successful crime.

The 1992 telephone survey by Gary Kleck, a Florida State University criminologist, which found that there are 2.5 million defensive gun uses (DGU's) per year by 'law-abiding' citizens in the United States has been repeatedly shown to be nonsense yet it persists because gun folk want it to be true... like some people believing in aliens.

Since a small percentage of people may report virtually anything on a telephone survey, there are serious risks of overestimation in using such surveys to measure rare events. The problem becomes particularly severe when the issue has even a remote possibility of positive social desirability response bias.

Consider the responses to a national random-digit-dial telephone survey of over 1,500 adults conducted in May 1994 by ABC News and the Washington Post. One question asked: "Have you yourself ever seen anything that you believe was a spacecraft from another planet?" 10% of respondents answered in the affirmative. These 150 individuals were then asked, "Have you personally ever been in contact with aliens from another planet or not?" and 6% answered "Yes."

By extrapolating to the national population
[as Kleck did in his DGU survey], we might conclude that almost 20 million Americans have seen spacecraft from another planet, and over a million have been in personal contact with aliens from other planets.

Wow, a million Americans have had contact with aliens.

Stop the presses.

vacps.org - The contradictions of kleck
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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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