Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MacroBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MacroBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |
Author: BenSolar   😊 😞
Number: of 4460 
Subject: Re: Is it time to buy stocks yet?
Date: 03/14/25 6:46 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 2
I don't see any big buying opportunity.

You'd do fine to buy small caps at this point, but I think there will be a better opportunity coming soon.

I don't know, though. Timing the market is incredibly tough. Valuing the market is different. Valuations are still super high on large caps, as you note about the S&P 500 CAPE. Valuation is a bit below average on small caps.

A bit above average return on small caps going forward would be pretty good. I should probably just go ahead and buy them. But, the possibility of getting a significantly lower price that will lead to super-charged returns is awfully enticing.

But then it's never easy to pull the trigger when the blood is in the streets, as the tendency is to get scared along with everyone else and think that an even better buying opportunity is coming soon.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to BenSolar here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 4,454 posts about Macroeconomic Trends & Risks. The article-length ones it recommended most:
AI Tarpits · 36 recs · 2026
End of an era - profit slowdown · 36 recs · 2023
Control Panel: Trend changes in 2026 · 34 recs · 2026
From the Oregon Bay Area (a blogger) · 33 recs · 2025
Lerner Symmetry Theorem · 32 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |


Announcements
Macroeconomic Trends & Risks FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Macro | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community