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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: PickTrader   😊 😞
Number: of 21944 
Subject: Price to Trend Book Value
Date: 08/06/24 1:27 AM
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In early 2023, I posted about using an alternative to Book Value for calculating P/BV of Berkshire.
PickTrader writes on Price to Book has been a quick, sim... (original post)
PickTrader writes on Price to Trend Book Value (updated info)

The idea is to smooth the noise out of Book Value by creating a (log) trend line for inflation adjusted Book Value, and using the current value on the trend line, rather than the latest BV. I occasionally update the calculation and thought I'd share it in case anyone is interested.

For end of Q2 2024, Book value is $418800 ($279.20 per B). Trend book value is $411520 ($274.35). So, currently the two values are fairly close to each other.

Monday's close of $413.72 places it at 1.48 time BV, and 1.51 times Trend BV. Not particularly inexpensive by either measure.

I know Warren is mindful about moving the market minimally while doing his daily purchases, but the sum total of all purchases with so much more to come has to be very supportive of the price. It seems like his share purchases might have created a structural change in the market and I wonder what the range of future P/BVs will be. I'm thinking we'll see P/BV breaking below 1.3 far less often going forward than we've seen in the past.
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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